0001 1 2 3 4 5 6 ****************************************************** 7 8 TEXAS LOTTERY COMMISSION 9 MEETING 10 11 JANUARY 13, 2006 12 13 14 ****************************************************** 15 16 17 18 BE IT REMEMBERED that the Texas Lottery 19 Commission meeting was held on the 13th day of January 20 2006 from 8:30 a.m. to 5:44 p.m., before David Bateman, 21 RPR, CSR in and for the State of Texas, reported by 22 machine shorthand, at the Offices of the Texas Lottery 23 Commission, 611 East 6th Street, Austin, Texas 78701, 24 whereupon the following proceedings were had: 25 0002 1 A P P E A R A N C E S 2 3 Chairman: 4 Mr. C. Tom Clowe, Jr. 5 6 Commissioners: 7 Mr. James A. Cox, Jr. 8 9 10 General Counsel: 11 Ms. Kimberly L. Kiplin 12 13 Acting Executive Director: 14 Mr. Gary Grief 15 16 Charitable Bingo Operations Director: 17 Mr. Billy Atkins 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 0003 1 I N D E X 2 PAGE 3 Appearances...................................... 2 4 5 AGENDA ITEMS 6 Item Number I.................................... 6 Meeting called to order 7 Item Number II................................... 101 8 Report, possible discussion and/or action on 3rd quarter bingo conductor information 9 Item Number III.................................. 110 10 Consideration of a petition for rulemaking to amend 16 TAC 402.600 pertaining to 11 Bingo Reports 12 Item Number IV................................... 118 Report, possible discussion and/or action on 13 lottery sales and revenue, game performance, instant game closures, new game opportunities, 14 including Powerball, and trends 15 Item Number V.................................... 133 Report, possible discussion and/or action on 16 the agency's financial status 17 Item Number VI................................... 135 Report, possible discussion and/or action on 18 the selection of jackpot payment option for prize winners 19 Item Number VII.................................. 156 20 Report, possible discussion and/or action on the Mega Millions game and/or contract 21 Item Number VIII................................. 15 22 Report, possible discussion and/or action on Gtech Corporation 23 Item Number IX................................... 54 24 Report, possible discussion and/or action on the lottery terminal functionality, including quick 25 pick feature for all games and/or impact to players 0004 1 Item Number X.................................... 157 Report, possible discussion and/or action on 2 The lottery advertising and promotions 3 Item Number XI................................... 164 Report, possible discussion and/or action on 4 HUB and/or minority business participation, including the agency's mentor/protege program 5 Item Number XII.................................. 166 6 Report, possible discussion and/or action on the agency's contracts 7 Item Number XIII................................. 34 8 Report, possible discussion and/or action regarding the demographic study of Texas Lottery 9 players 10 Item Number XIV.................................. 167 Report, possible discussion and/or action on 11 the 79th Legislature 12 Item Number XV................................... 93 Consideration of and possible discussion and/or 13 action on external and internal audits and/or reviews relating to the Texas Lottery Commission 14 and/or the Internal Audit Department activities 15 Item Number XVI.................................. 168 Consideration of and possible discussion 16 and/or action on the appointment and employment of an executive director 17 Item Number XVII........................... 6, 14, 90 18 Executive session 19 Item Number XVIII.......................... 7, 15, 93 Return to open session 20 Item Number XIX.................................. 176 21 Consideration of and possible entry of orders 22 Item Number XX................................... 197 Report by acting executive director 23 Item Number XXI............................ 197, 201 24 Report by Charitable Bingo Operations 25 0005 1 Item Number XXII................................. 202 Public comment 2 Item number XXIII................................ 210 3 Adjournment 4 Reporter's Certificate........................... 219 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 0006 1 AGENDA ITEM NO. I 2 CHAIR CLOWE: The Texas Lottery 3 Commission will come to order. Commissioner Cox is 4 here. My name is Tom Clowe. This is January the 13th, 5 2005 (sic). It's 8:30 a.m. 6 AGENDA ITEM NO. XVII 7 CHAIR CLOWE: Commissioner Cox, with your 8 approval, I would like to make a motion that we go into 9 executive session. 10 COMMISSIONER COX: Certainly. 11 CHAIR CLOWE: At this time, I move the 12 Texas Lottery Commission go into executive session to 13 deliberate the appointment, employment, evaluation, 14 and/or duties of the executive director, acting 15 executive director, and/or deputy executive director 16 pursuant to Section 551.074 of the Texas Government 17 Code. 18 Is there a second? 19 COMMISSIONER COX: Second. 20 CHAIR CLOWE: All in favor, please say 21 "aye." 22 COMMISSIONER COX: Aye. 23 CHAIR CLOWE: Aye. 24 The vote is two-zero. 25 The Texas Lottery Commission will go into 0007 1 executive session. The time is 8:31 a.m. Today is 2 January the 13th, 2006. 3 (Executive Session from 4 8:29 a.m. to 10:52 a.m.) 5 AGENDA ITEM NO. XVIII 6 CHAIR CLOWE: The Texas Lottery 7 Commission is out of executive session. The time is 8 10:53 a.m. 9 Is there any action to be taken as a 10 result of executive session? 11 COMMISSIONER COX: Mr. Chairman, I have a 12 motion. 13 CHAIR CLOWE: Yes, sir. 14 COMMISSIONER COX: I move that Gary 15 Grief, effective January 17, 2006, be returned to his 16 position as deputy director and his annual salary be 17 set at the level it was before he moved into the acting 18 executive director position in January of 2005 but with 19 the four-percent legislative increase so that his 20 annual salary is set at $118,116, which is $9,843 21 monthly. 22 CHAIR CLOWE: I second that motion. 23 All in favor, please say "aye." 24 COMMISSIONER COX: Aye. 25 CHAIR CLOWE: Aye. 0008 1 The vote is two-zero. 2 Is there another motion, Commissioner 3 Cox? 4 COMMISSIONER COX: Yes, I have a further 5 motion. 6 I move that the evaluation of Gary Grief 7 for the period February 28th, 2005 until January 13, 8 2006 as acting executive director and as the deputy 9 director be approved. 10 CHAIR CLOWE: I second that motion. 11 All in favor, please say "aye." 12 COMMISSIONER COX: Aye. 13 CHAIR CLOWE: Aye. 14 The vote is two-zero in favor. 15 Is there a further motion, Commissioner 16 Cox? 17 COMMISSIONER COX: Finally, based on his 18 job performance and productivity, I move to approve the 19 promotion for Gary Grief effective Wednesday, January 20 18, 2006. He would be promoted to a director five, 21 class number 1624, salary group 821, with his annual 22 salary to be set at $125,088. 23 CHAIR CLOWE: I second the motion. 24 All in favor, please say "aye." 25 Aye. 0009 1 COMMISSIONER COX: Aye. 2 CHAIR CLOWE: The vote is two-zero. 3 Now I have one. I make the motion that 4 Anthony Sadberry, effective Tuesday, January the 17th, 5 2006, be named acting executive director of the Texas 6 Lottery Commission with his annual salary to be set at 7 $114,996. 8 Is there a second? 9 COMMISSIONER COX: Second. 10 CHAIR CLOWE: All in favor, please say 11 "aye." 12 COMMISSIONER COX: Aye. 13 CHAIR CLOWE: Aye. 14 The vote is two-zero in favor. 15 I'm going to call on Mr. Sadberry. But 16 before Commissioner Cox and I do that, I would like to 17 state on the record that we are very pleased to be able 18 to offer this position to Mr. Sadberry. 19 As many of you know, he served with 20 distinction as a commissioner of this agency for a 21 number of years and during a time that there were a 22 great many problems that this agency dealt with. 23 I have had the pleasure of serving with 24 Mr. Sadberry as a commissioner. And I admired his work 25 in that role and appreciated his service to the state 0010 1 of Texas from a firsthand observation point. 2 I would like to say that I approached Mr. 3 Sadberry and asked him if he would be interested in 4 this position as acting executive director. 5 He responded positively. The 6 commissioners have visited with him in executive 7 session and have now just voted to ask him to assume 8 this role. 9 Mr. Sadberry brings to this position, 10 assuming that he accepts this role, a history, a 11 knowledge and experience of dealing with the lottery 12 that is rich and I think unexcelled. 13 He has served with distinction on the 14 executive search committee that continues to function. 15 And most recently, he chaired the last meeting and 16 brought us to a point where we reached last month and 17 will continue in the future. My understanding is that 18 he will no longer serve on that executive search 19 committee upon taking up these duties. 20 Now Gary Grief was limited, because he is 21 an employee of this agency, to a term of six months as 22 acting executive director. Because Mr. Sadberry was 23 not an employee of this agency, if he accepts this 24 role, he will not be limited to six months. 25 That's a question that the commissioners 0011 1 would like to answer before it is asked. At the same 2 time, I want to state that the search for the executive 3 director continues. We expect to hear from Diane 4 Morris shortly with a report on those activities. And 5 she'll bring us up to date on the level of activity 6 there. 7 Having said that, do you have anything to 8 add, Commissioner Cox? 9 COMMISSIONER COX: No, sir. I do not. 10 CHAIR CLOWE: Mr. Sadberry, are you here? 11 MR. SADBERRY: I am, Chairman. 12 CHAIR CLOWE: As the man who hopefully 13 came to work on Friday the 13th -- really it will be 14 the 17th -- I'd like to ask you if you would accept 15 this position and give us any remarks that you may 16 have. 17 MR. SADBERRY: Chairman Clowe and 18 Commissioner Cox, I -- after -- Chairman Clowe and 19 Commissioner Cox, after due deliberation that has gone 20 on for some time and our discussion this morning, I do 21 gladly and willingly accept this position on the terms 22 in which you have laid out in your motion, that is as 23 acting director, executive director, as your search 24 committee, in my absence now, continues to function in 25 the process that you set in motion to look for an 0012 1 executive director to serve this agency. 2 And you correctly state that I was 3 requested to consider it. I am honored by that 4 request. I'm honored by the confidence you have 5 expressed in me in your motion and your vote this 6 morning. 7 You're correct. I sometimes try to add 8 it up. I believe -- the record will certainly show, 9 but I believe it was some eight years or thereabouts 10 that I served as a commissioner. I was one of the 11 initial three commissioners appointed in 1993 when this 12 agency began its initiation as an independent and new 13 agency in the state of Texas. 14 Every day since that time and up to this 15 time, including the time that I was away from the 16 agency, I've had a strong feeling for this agency, for 17 the -- and understanding of the very important role 18 that it serves in this state and that utmost we all 19 must realize and appreciate is that we serve the state 20 of Texas and the people of Texas. 21 And that's where, in coming to this 22 position, I acknowledge and accept the responsibility 23 of doing that and bringing to this effort the best that 24 I can bring and offer to this agency. 25 As you know and as we've discussed, my 0013 1 philosophy is a team approach. I think the most can be 2 gained from that by approaching leadership and 3 functioning of an agency in that regard. 4 So I look forward to working with the 5 leadership, management, administrators and staff of 6 this agency and with you, as commissioners, and with 7 the leadership of our state. I look forward to it. 8 I look forward to the -- the tasks and 9 responsibility and challenges and the opportunities 10 that will be brought by this effort. I look forward to 11 going to work and working each day to reach our goals 12 to make this agency continue in the excellence which I 13 believe has been achieved. 14 Thank you for your services, 15 Commissioners. I understand what that entails and 16 appreciate where you've brought this agency from the 17 point at which I left it as commissioner and I join it 18 again at a different capacity equal of importance and I 19 very much look forward to it. 20 So again, I accept. And thank you for 21 the opportunity. 22 CHAIR CLOWE: Thank you, sir. 23 COMMISSIONER COX: Thank you. 24 CHAIR CLOWE: Anything further, 25 Commissioner? 0014 1 COMMISSIONER COX: No, sir. 2 CHAIR CLOWE: We will give Mr. Sadberry 3 an opportunity to speak with those of you who are in 4 the room that want to visit with him. 5 But in regard to additional business, 6 Commissioner Cox, with your approval, I'd like to make 7 a motion that we go back into executive session. 8 COMMISSIONER COX: Absolutely. 9 AGENDA ITEM NO. XVII 10 CHAIR CLOWE: At this time, I move the 11 Texas Lottery Commission go into executive session to 12 receive legal advice to -- pursuant to Section 13 551.071(2) of the Texas Government Code regarding the 14 lottery operator contract. 15 Is there a second? 16 COMMISSIONER COX: Second. 17 CHAIR CLOWE: All in favor, please say 18 "aye." 19 COMMISSIONER COX: Aye. 20 CHAIR CLOWE: Aye. 21 The vote is two-zero. 22 The Texas Lottery Commission will go into 23 the executive session. The time is 11:02 a.m. The 24 date is January the 13th, 2006. 25 (Executive Session from 0015 1 11:02 a.m. to 11:59 a.m.) 2 AGENDA ITEM NO. XVIII 3 CHAIR CLOWE: The Texas Lottery 4 Commission is out of executive session. The time is 12 5 noon. Is there any action to be taken as a result of 6 executive session? 7 AGENDA ITEM NO. VIII 8 CHAIR CLOWE: And if not, let's move on 9 to item eight, report and possible discussion and/or 10 action on Gtech Corporation. 11 Mr. Grief? 12 MR. GRIEF: Commissioners, there have 13 been additional developments regarding the potential 14 stock ownership change for Gtech Corporation that's 15 been mentioned previously. 16 On January 10th, Gtech issued a press 17 release in which they announced that Gtech and 18 Lottomatica, an Italian-based company, entered into an 19 agreement for Lottomatica to acquire all the 20 outstanding shares of Gtech stock for 35 dollars per 21 share or approximately 4.8 billion dollars. 22 That press release also said that the 23 transaction is expected to be completed by mid-2006. 24 And the press release went on to say that Lottomatica 25 is headquartered in Rome, Italy, operates the Italian 0016 1 Lotto, and is a market leader in the Italian gaming 2 industry. 3 Our understanding is that Lottomatica is 4 controlled by De Agostini, an Italian diversified 5 industrial and financial holding group with significant 6 international operations and De Agostini controls 58 7 percent of the Lottomatica shares. My understanding 8 from Gtech is that Lottomatica shares are traded on the 9 Milan Stock Exchange. 10 As you know, with the approval and 11 assistance from the Office of Attorney General, the 12 Lottery Commission previously issued a request for 13 proposals for outside counsel services related to this 14 transaction. 15 And this RFP covers a broad range of 16 legal services related to assisting the commission and 17 determining the appropriateness of the transaction and 18 the suitability of the new shareholders. 19 An apparent successful proposer, Graves 20 Dougherty, a Texas-based law firm, has been announced. 21 Contract negotiations ensued shortly thereafter and the 22 contract has been executed by both parties. My 23 understanding is that that contract has now been 24 forwarded over to the Office of Attorney General for 25 their final approval. 0017 1 We do have representatives from Gtech 2 with us in the audience today. And in the event that 3 you have additional questions of them and I'm sure 4 that, if I've said anything inaccurate, they would be 5 happy to correct me. 6 CHAIR CLOWE: Thank you, Gary. 7 Gentlemen, will you come forward, please? I want to 8 ask you to identify yourselves for the record. 9 But before you do that and the commission 10 hears from you, I spoke to you this morning when we 11 began this meeting and informed you that we would call 12 on you as early as possible. And in light of 13 misleading you, I need to offer you an apology. 14 We understand that you are busy 15 executives and you have commitments. And we are 16 appreciative that you would come to Austin and appear 17 before us. And at the same time, we are sorry that we 18 have been unable to call on you before this hour of the 19 day. 20 We've had a number of matters that have 21 been pending before this commission for some time. And 22 it was absolutely necessary to deal with those and, 23 therefore, the delay in coming to this item of the 24 agenda. But I want you to understand it was clearly 25 not our intention to have you sit here and wait through 0018 1 the morning. So we apologize to you for that. 2 And now you have our full attention, so 3 if you will identify yourselves and tell us what you've 4 come to say. 5 MR. SWEITZER: Thank you very much, Mr. 6 Chairman. There we go. Thank you. 7 My name is Donald R. Sweitzer. I am the 8 senior vice-president of Global Business Development 9 and Public Affairs for Gtech Holdings. Mr. DeSocio 10 will speak in a minute. This is Walter G. DeSocio, who 11 is senior vice-president, general counsel and corporate 12 secretary of -- of -- of Gtech. 13 We're not offended at all that we've -- 14 that we've had to wait a little while. Your work is as 15 important as ours. And we actually very much 16 appreciate the opportunity to come here so soon after 17 our announcement. And we appreciate your invitation to 18 be here today to answer any questions that you may 19 have. 20 We -- we have a great respect and a long 21 relationship with this lottery. The -- the Texas 22 lottery -- we talk about the Texas lottery model around 23 the world, frankly. When we -- in my own 24 responsibilities, I spend a lot of my time outside of 25 the country talking to countries and states and 0019 1 jurisdictions that are thinking of putting in a 2 lottery, whether it be Sri Lanka or Thailand or Russia. 3 And I don't know whether you-all know how 4 much the Texas lottery is invoked around the world 5 because when we are advising governments of best 6 practices and things along those lines as to how they 7 should set up a lottery, the -- very early in that 8 conversation is a discussion of the Texas model because 9 the -- the innovative way in which you-all have run 10 this lottery over the years is something that is 11 pointed to around the world as a model of best practice 12 that ought to be the model for any kind of a new 13 operation. 14 So we are pleased that we are your vendor 15 and we intend to continue this relationship. We -- we 16 don't have any formal statement to make because I think 17 what we'd like to do is respond to -- to your 18 questions. And Walter may say a few things when I'm 19 done. 20 But the main message that we're here to 21 say to you is that this -- this acquisition is one that 22 is basically a vertical acquisition. This is not as if 23 one competitor is buying another. And the classic 24 thing that happens in those kinds of situations is 25 there's a lot of change, there's a lot of duplicate 0020 1 work and so on and so forth. 2 Generally speaking, there is turmoil in a 3 lot of the change. As Gary said, this is the -- 4 Lottomatica is the operator of the Italian Lottery. 5 They are more like you than they are like 6 us. And therefore, the manner in which we will 7 continue to operate the Gtech Corporation will be very 8 much as you understand it now. 9 We will not be losing our identity. The 10 Gtech Corporation will still be headquartered in United 11 States, in Rhode Island. We're building a new building 12 in downtown Providence right now which will be open 13 in -- in November. And the manner in which we serve 14 our clients will be very much along the lines of how it 15 is now. 16 The personnel, as -- as you probably read 17 in the announcements, Bruce Turner, our CEO, who has 18 appeared before you before, will be -- will continue to 19 be the CEO of Gtech and he will also be the CEO of the 20 new entity, Lottomatica. 21 The -- one of the things that the 22 acquirers have asked all of us is for the entire 23 American team, senior management team, to manage the 24 combined operations. And so, therefore, there will be 25 Lottomatica Holdings Company of which Bruce will be the 0021 1 CEO and there will be two units in that company, 2 Lottomatica and Gtech. 3 And Bruce will continue to be the CEO of 4 Gtech. All of us will continue as officers. There 5 will be -- there will be literally no change in the 6 personnel that -- that serve you. 7 And we think there will be many strengths 8 after this acquisition is completed, as far as being 9 able to strengthen us even further to allow us to do 10 the things that hopefully we are chosen for, and that 11 is the research and development that we do to allow us 12 to continue to be the market leader. 13 And so our basic message to you -- and 14 we'll respond to any particular questions you have. 15 And I know Walter may have some exchanges that -- as 16 far as the description of how you intend to examine 17 this -- this -- this acquisition which, of course, 18 you -- you should do. 19 Our main message is that this will not be 20 turmoil or major change that you -- the -- the way that 21 you know that we operate now will change very little. 22 We think it strengthens us both financially and as a 23 market leader. 24 And we look forward to completing the -- 25 the -- all -- all that must go into that and being open 0022 1 all through this process to any inquiries or 2 investigations or research that you need to do. That's 3 the basic message. 4 And I know Walter wants to say a few 5 words. And then we'll be happy to respond to any 6 questions that you may have. 7 CHAIR CLOWE: Thank you. 8 MR. DeSOCIO: Thank you very much. I 9 support everything else that Don said and add that, 10 over the coming months -- and this will be a month -- a 11 multimonth process as we work through all the 12 conditions necessary to consummate this transaction. 13 We intend to work fully and cooperatively 14 with all of our customers and that obviously includes 15 the Texas Lottery. So I want to make it clear that we 16 are going to be at your disposal and at the disposal of 17 other customers to provide whatever information it is 18 in order for you to carry out what you believe to be 19 your duties to the citizens of your state. 20 The transaction, as we view it, is really 21 one very much of continuity. As Don said, we are going 22 to be keeping things in place. There were -- there was 23 a time when we talked to several members of the staff 24 as a way of updating them about a transaction that our 25 board had been considering for many, many months. 0023 1 And during the course of that 2 transaction, we had some discussions about, frankly, a 3 transaction that looked very different from the one 4 that we announced earlier this week and that, in my 5 view, might have given one reason to look at the 6 delivery and financial capabilities of the resulting 7 company. 8 We believe that the acquisition 9 transaction announcement that was described very well 10 by Gary that was announced earlier this week results in 11 a combined company that's very healthy, that has -- 12 will have an investment-grade rating and we believe 13 will have the delivery capabilities to provide you with 14 what you expect from us under the contract and even 15 beyond what we deliver under the contract. 16 So with that, we'd be happy to either 17 take questions now or take away things that you'd like 18 us to do later and come back and work with your staff 19 on. 20 CHAIR CLOWE: Well, gentlemen, I want to 21 thank you again for being here today and tell you that 22 we appreciate the timeliness of your visit with us this 23 morning. I think we are fortunate that we had this 24 meeting scheduled and had you on the agenda. And we're 25 appreciative of you coming from Rhode Island and being 0024 1 here with us. 2 I'm also appreciative of your kind 3 remarks about the Texas model. There are some that 4 think we're somewhat contentious and hard to do 5 business with. My view is that the focus of this 6 agency is to protect the people of Texas and to make 7 certain that the players are treated with honesty and 8 fairness and we -- pretty stringent on that 9 requirement. 10 I've been both the acquirer and the 11 acquiree in these kinds of deals. And, you know, you 12 really don't believe there's going to be any change, 13 you better look at that one again because there always 14 is change. 15 MR. SWEITZER: Well, we -- we know that. 16 We're speaking, of course, in the manner in which we 17 run the operation. We -- we have also been acquirers. 18 And in this company, we haven't been acquired in our 19 experience, anyway. 20 But no, we fully understand there -- 21 there will be cultural differences and changes and just 22 different personalities. The advantage that we have 23 here, though -- and frankly, we didn't have it in the 24 original -- as Walter mentioned, the original proposed 25 deal that was negotiated for some months and then 0025 1 folks -- and then it moved on was with people who we 2 didn't personally know but we came to know. 3 We know the people at Lottomatica because 4 we're in the business and because we also operate in 5 Italy. We have come over the years to know most of the 6 people that we're dealing with. And that gives you a 7 little bit more comfort. 8 But we're also big boys and we know that 9 there will be different folks and different ideas and 10 certainly we know that there will be some changes and 11 perhaps even a little head-knocking from time to time. 12 But that's -- that's human nature and life. 13 CHAIR CLOWE: Well, you know, what brings 14 that about is you take their money. And when you take 15 their money and they own you, then they're going to 16 call the tune. And I think this deal is different than 17 the first deal that we heard about. And I think that 18 represents just how quickly change can come about. 19 And these deals are interesting. And 20 certainly a deal that involves the acquisition of a 21 domestic United States corporation by a foreign 22 corporation which is traded on a foreign exchange where 23 58 percent is controlled by private entity is a complex 24 and a very interesting business arrangement. 25 And our interest, as I think is justified 0026 1 by our contract, is a determination of the suitability 2 of whoever the survivor in this transaction might be 3 regarding assuming the role of the operator to the 4 Texas Lottery. And that's our interest. 5 We certainly intend to, in an obligation 6 to the state, to look into this matter. And I would 7 ask you the questions of: Do you intend to be 8 supportive to that effort insofar as, specifically 9 comes to mind, the retention of outside firms, attorney 10 and the outside firm of investigators and are you open 11 to the posting of monies that would enable those 12 activities to go on and be funded by Gtech? 13 MR. DeSOCIO: The answer to that is very 14 clearly yes. And we've -- I've had some discussions 15 with your general counsel about the mechanics of 16 posting appropriate funds that will allow you to begin 17 to do your work. 18 But clearly that is -- that's -- that's 19 beyond doubt that we'll -- you know, we want to 20 facilitate what process you feel you need to undertake. 21 And we're at your disposal in terms of financial 22 support to get it done and in terms of informational 23 support to help your advisers do their job. 24 CHAIR CLOWE: And in regard to that, 25 there are categories of states that you are the 0027 1 operator for. And as I understand it, there's a 2 condition of the deal going forward that 87 percent of 3 those entities in some form must give some sort of an 4 assurance -- and I'm not clear on the definition of 5 that and I don't want to be pinned down to stating what 6 specifically that is because I don't know. 7 But my question doesn't go to that. It 8 goes more to your attitude towards those entities, the 9 states where you are the lottery operator, working 10 together and being a single entity in this 11 investigative and determination of their feelings about 12 suitability. 13 What's your attitude about that at this 14 point in time? 15 MR. SWEITZER: I think our attitude is -- 16 with all of those other entities as -- is the same as 17 what we're saying here today. We -- we look forward to 18 and will cooperate with and encourage a thorough scrub 19 by all of these states into this transaction. 20 So I might also add that Lottomatica is 21 not an unknown entity in this industry in the United 22 States. As you may know, Lottomatica actually owned a 23 significant percentage of one of our competitors up 24 until a couple of years ago and, therefore, has been 25 through many of the processes that a company must go 0028 1 through in various jurisdictions in the United States. 2 So they are not an unknown entity, I 3 think, even to the Texas Lottery. But we look forward 4 to a thorough look into the and monitoring of the 5 transaction as it goes forward by all of the entities 6 that we serve. 7 CHAIR CLOWE: Well, I think then what I'm 8 hearing you say is you're open to that and you don't 9 have a plan working right now to either work with 10 individual states or try to bring the states together 11 and have them act in consort. 12 Is that correct? 13 MR. DeSOCIO: I think that's largely 14 correct. As you probably know, when the first 15 iteration of the transaction was under discussion and 16 we had -- that is Gtech and its representatives had 17 discussions with, I will say, 20 to 22 or 3, maybe 18 virtually all the domestic lotteries for which it 19 provides services, we -- we received a letter from the 20 New York General Counsel's Office advising us that it 21 had -- it had made an arrangement. 22 And we were taking the letter at face 23 value. It had made an arrangement to pool resources so 24 that the various domestic lotteries can take advantage 25 of efficiencies and understanding what, at that time, 0029 1 was an exceedingly complex transaction and that the 2 decision-making would certainly be done by each 3 domestic jurisdiction but the pooling of resources 4 would be an efficient way of having experts hired and 5 information obtained about the transaction. This is, I 6 would submit, a different type of transaction. 7 And at the end of the day, we operate by 8 the customer rules principle. And if states have 9 specific question with regard to their lottery 10 relationship with us, we intend to deal with those 11 bilaterally. 12 And I would -- I would suspect that, now 13 that the transaction has become publicly-known, that 14 many lotteries are now beginning to consider what is 15 the appropriate level of resource commitment and 16 analytical commitment to a transaction that looks very 17 different than the one that they were preliminarily 18 advised about a couple months ago. 19 CHAIR CLOWE: Well, and I think there's 20 yet to be more information developed on the answer to 21 my question regarding that issue. And you've taken 22 your answer as far as I believe you have it at this 23 point. 24 MR. DeSOCIO: That's correct. 25 CHAIR CLOWE: In regard to the 0030 1 transaction that you have made at this point in time 2 that I read about, how far to the controlling entity -- 3 and that would be the majority stockholder -- do you 4 anticipate the willingness to disclose information, 5 insofar as suitability, is going to be available to 6 ourselves, for example? 7 MR. DeSOCIO: Well, I can't speak for 8 them. But I think I can give you a pretty -- a pretty 9 informed and educated answer. 10 I think De Agostini, the controlling 11 shareholder, is committed to providing information to 12 the -- the degree necessary on its operations and on 13 its directors and stockholders in order to provide 14 satisfaction both to the lottery customers and to the 15 gaming customers, gaming jurisdictions, that will have 16 similar types of investigatory exercises. 17 As Don stated earlier, we understand that 18 they have been through the process before in connection 19 with their Scientific Games' investment. There were 20 both lottery and gaming licenses issued and 21 investigations conducted. So we feel very, very 22 confident. 23 And, in fact, I'm sure -- I wasn't part 24 of the board process, but I think I can probably speak 25 for the board in saying that one of the considerations 0031 1 that would have been important to the Gtech board would 2 be to understand that the buyer has a commitment to do 3 what's necessary to consummate the transaction. 4 Otherwise, it wouldn't be, in my view, a 5 deal that would be as -- as positive to the -- for the 6 Gtech shareholders. So ascertaining that level of 7 interest and commitment, I think, was a gut-check 8 decision by our board. 9 Certainly the management members of Gtech 10 feel very confident about the commitment. 11 Historically, in the last couple of years, they have 12 evidence of the commitment to submit themselves to the 13 appropriate level of investigation in different 14 jurisdictions. 15 So I believe you'll see cooperation to 16 the extent that Texas law or California law or New York 17 law or Canadian law requires. 18 CHAIR CLOWE: I think that you've 19 answered preliminarily the issues that I have in my 20 mind. I think that clearly we view this as a major 21 change in your company. It's a change of control as I 22 see it. 23 And I think, as I've said before, it is 24 our responsibility to determine that there is 25 suitability and that's our responsibility. We will 0032 1 need to work closely with you if you want some kind of 2 a response from us and I -- I couldn't begin to 3 describe what that's going to be until we get further 4 into it. 5 But again, we appreciate your being here 6 and giving us this initial indication of your 7 willingness to work with us in dealing with us. 8 Commissioner Cox? 9 COMMISSIONER COX: (Shaking head) 10 CHAIR CLOWE: Anything -- 11 MS. KIPLIN: May I -- just to be clear in 12 my mind, may I ask a question of the general counsel? 13 CHAIR CLOWE: Sure. 14 MS. KIPLIN: I just want to make sure 15 that I'm clear. And I appreciate the discussions we've 16 had off the record. But I want to make sure that Gtech 17 is committing to paying the costs of whatever we need 18 to do, including the cost of our outside counsel that 19 we've retained and any outside investigators, and you 20 will post funds with us from which we can draw to pay 21 for those costs and -- 22 MR. DeSOCIO: That -- 23 MS. KIPLIN: -- will replenish those 24 funds as -- as we need, that we need to. 25 MR. DeSOCIO: That is our agreement, yes. 0033 1 MS. KIPLIN: Thank you. 2 CHAIR CLOWE: That's what I thought he 3 said. Feel better now? 4 MS. KIPLIN: I do. 5 CHAIR CLOWE: Anything further, 6 gentlemen? 7 MR. SWEITZER: I think the only thing I 8 would add in closing, Mr. Chairman, if you'd allow me 9 to, is to reiterate our commitment to the state of 10 Texas. Another point that I would make that I think 11 demonstrates it and will continue in the -- in the new 12 arrangement is what we've done here in Austin, Texas. 13 We are a worldwide company. We have 14 three technology hubs in the world. And, as you know, 15 a couple of years ago we chose one of those technology 16 hubs to be Austin, Texas. Austin, Texas, West 17 Greenwich, Rhode Island and Warsaw, Poland. 18 And we are very proud and very confident 19 of what we've done here in Austin in not only serving 20 the Texas Lottery from this technology center but also 21 other states in the United States and some foreign 22 lotteries that are served from a facility right up the 23 street. 24 And so I think that further demonstrates 25 our commitment to this state, which will continue in 0034 1 whatever the new arrangement is going forward. We are 2 proud of our association with Texas and very pleased to 3 be here today. 4 CHAIR CLOWE: Thank you very much. Thank 5 you both. 6 MR. DeSOCIO: Thank you. 7 CHAIR CLOWE: Mr. Fernandez, are your 8 folks still here? 9 MR. FERNANDEZ: Yes, sir. They're still 10 here. 11 CHAIR CLOWE: Commissioner, with your 12 approval, we have some outsiders that are here that 13 want to cover an item and then we'll go into executive 14 session. 15 Mike, what -- what item is yours on our 16 agenda? 17 MR. FERNANDEZ: It's item number 13, Mr. 18 Chairman. 19 AGENDA ITEM NO. XIII 20 CHAIR CLOWE: Let's go to item number 13, 21 report, possible discussion and/or action regarding the 22 demographic study of Texas lottery players. 23 And gentlemen, we appreciate you-all 24 being here and we apologize for the lateness in asking 25 you to come forward and appear before us. 0035 1 MR. FERNANDEZ: Good afternoon, Mr. 2 Chairman and Commissioner Cox. As you know, we have 3 entered into an interagency agreement with the 4 University of Texas Arlington for the conduct of a 5 demographic study of lottery players. 6 With me this afternoon I have Dr. Richard 7 Cole, who's the dean and professor of the School of 8 Urban and Public Affairs from the University of Texas 9 Arlington. I believe with him he has a research 10 associate, Robert Wilkins. I also have with us today 11 Dr. Sizemore, our -- our internal researcher. 12 And with that, I would ask Dr. Cole to 13 present their findings. 14 DR. COLE: Thank you very much. I 15 believe I can go through this quickly. There's a lot 16 of data and information in the report and we're not 17 going to go through page by page. But we felt we would 18 go over the highlights with you and respond to 19 questions as we can. 20 As mentioned, my name is Richard Cole. 21 And I'm dean of the School of Urban and Public Affairs 22 at the University of Texas at Arlington. And with me 23 today is Bob Wilkins, a research associate at the 24 school who's worked with me on this project. 25 CHAIR CLOWE: And do you get to bask in 0036 1 the glory of the Rose Bowl? Are they sharing that with 2 you guys or not? 3 DR. COLE: Absolutely. Well, we bask in 4 the glory for sure. 5 CHAIR CLOWE: Okay. 6 DR. COLE: As much as we can. 7 We both want to say that we very much 8 appreciate the opportunity to have worked with the 9 commission on this effort. We know it's an important 10 project for the commission and for the state of Texas 11 and it's an honor of us to have been -- for us to have 12 been part of it this year. And we thank you very much 13 for that. 14 Before we look at the results of this 15 year's demographic study, I want to briefly review our 16 research design and discuss a few points related to 17 methodology and research design. 18 The telephone survey was conducted during 19 the months of October and November of 2005 using a 20 method known as random-digit dialing, a process that 21 ensures that all households in Texas with listed and 22 unlisted phone numbers have an equal opportunity of 23 being included in the sample. 24 The survey was available in both English 25 and Spanish and Spanish-speaking interviewers were 0037 1 available for those who wanted it. We completed 2 interviews with 17 hundred Texas residents age 18 or 3 above, a sample size yielding a margin of error of plus 4 or minus 2.4 percent. 5 Throughout this report, we report 6 statistical tests known as tests of statistical 7 significance. Let me briefly review the purpose of 8 these tests. 9 Whenever we have information collected 10 from a sample as compared with information collected 11 from the entire population, there's a chance that 12 relationships we observe in the sample data may not 13 actually accurately reflect true relationships in the 14 population. 15 You can never entirely eliminate the risk 16 of making mistakes, but tests of statistical 17 significance tell us the probability of making an error 18 in concluding that a relationship found in the sample 19 actually does represent a relationship exists in the 20 population. 21 When a relationship found in the sample 22 is reported to be significant -- and let's say the .05 23 level, this means that in only five out of one hundred 24 samples of this size would we find a relationship this 25 large if, in fact, no relationship exists in the 0038 1 population. 2 When report -- when we report a 3 relationship to be significant at the .001 level, this 4 means that in only one out of a thousand samples would 5 we find a relationship this large if, in fact, no 6 relationship exists in the population. 7 If a relationship is reported as not 8 significant, this means that the relationship in the 9 sample is too small to conclude with an acceptable 10 degree of confidence that the relationship actually 11 exists in the population. 12 And so tests of significance can be 13 thought of as measures of confidence. They tell us how 14 confident we can be that relationships found in our 15 sample actually do reflect relationships existing in 16 the population. 17 When we are confident that a relationship 18 exists in the population, we say that relationship is 19 statistically significant. When we are not confident, 20 we say the relationship is not statistically 21 significant. 22 Another issue deals with the use of 23 unweighted data. Our study, like all previous studies, 24 uses data in their unweighted format. This means that 25 the data, after having been collected, are not adjusted 0039 1 to match specific proportional demographics of the 2 population. 3 Reporting our results this way permits 4 direct comparison with previous studies and does not 5 affect group-by-group comparisons such as comparing 6 participation rates of men with women, Hispanics with 7 non-Hispanics, lower income with higher income 8 individuals, and so forth. 9 And for the most part, these are the type 10 of comparisons we report on in this study. It should 11 be noted, though, that projections of sample results to 12 the population should be interpreted with appropriate 13 caution when using unweighted data. 14 And a final methodological issue concerns 15 extreme cases. A few respondents report 16 extraordinarily large amounts of money spent on the 17 various lottery games. In some cases, these extreme 18 cases skew the results so much so that the reporting of 19 the average or mean amount spent on any game is 20 misleading. 21 In order to control for this, we 22 typically report the median as opposed to the mean 23 amount spent. The median is that number that divides 24 the distribution in half so that 50 percent of 25 respondents report spending that amount or more and 50 0040 1 percent report spending that amount or less. As such, 2 the median serves as a correction for extreme cases. 3 So before we report the results, I would 4 pause if there are questions on any of those issues. 5 COMMISSIONER COX: I just have one 6 question on the sample selection basis. 7 DR. COLE: Yes. 8 COMMISSIONER COX: You used land line 9 telephone -- 10 DR. COLE: Yes. 11 COMMISSIONER COX: -- numbers? 12 DR. COLE: Yes. 13 COMMISSIONER COX: And I assume you got 14 from the various phone companies the population of this 15 block of numbers that you used just like another 16 business. 17 DR. COLE: That's -- that's essentially 18 true. And then from that block, a randomization 19 process is used to randomly select the phone numbers. 20 COMMISSIONER COX: Okay. So from that, 21 you got listed and unlisted numbers. 22 DR. COLE: That's true. 23 COMMISSIONER COX: What did you do with 24 the business numbers that you had? 25 DR. COLE: The business numbers are 0041 1 deleted from the sample -- 2 COMMISSIONER COX: So they're just 3 residential numbers? 4 DR. COLE: Right. 5 COMMISSIONER COX: And do you have any 6 concern about the fact that, as I read, a growing 7 number of people don't even have land line phones, they 8 have cell phone? 9 DR. COLE: Yeah, it is. Cell phones are 10 eliminated from this sample as they, by law, must be. 11 But it's -- it's an increasing concern for survey 12 research in general, the number of people in the 13 population who are using cell phones as opposed to land 14 line phones. 15 Data that I've seen indicated that it's 16 still a reasonably small percent, maybe three, four, 17 five percent. But it's an increasing concern. There's 18 no -- there's no question about it. 19 I think that most studies have 20 demonstrated that, at this point, it does not seem to 21 make a difference. In other words, people who use cell 22 phones are not considerably different from the rest of 23 the population. So that bias tends to wash out. 24 But I think that anyone involved in 25 survey research knows that that's an increasing issue 0042 1 that will have to be dealt with at some point. 2 COMMISSIONER COX: And how large do you 3 think the economic strata you're missing at the bottom 4 of the income array because they just can't afford a 5 telephone? 6 DR. COLE: I -- I don't think it's very 7 significant. We -- we have looked and we'll look in 8 just a second, a comparison of the income demographics 9 of the sample with the population of Texas. And it's 10 very, very close. 11 COMMISSIONER COX: Thank you, Mr. 12 Chairman. 13 CHAIR CLOWE: Thank you. 14 DR. COLE: Okay. Bob -- Bob, let's go to 15 the first chart. 16 The first chart on the board, in fact, 17 does look at the characteristics of the sample. And I 18 will not pause long on this except to note that, in 19 many of these categories, we were very close to the 20 population of the state of Texas. 21 The income category, for example, you see 22 the percentages that fall in our sample. I'll just 23 quickly read from top to bottom the census portion in 24 those same categories. Under 20 thousand, it's 24 25 percent. Then on up, it's 14 percent, 13, 10, 9, 9, 0043 1 and 11. So we're very close there. 2 We're close on the race variable, at 3 least in terms of white and African-American or blacks. 4 We're very close on the gender variable. And we're 5 reasonably close on the age variable. 6 The two variables where the sample 7 characteristics deviate from the statewide numbers 8 significantly are -- is in the area of education, where 9 we have -- where in the state of Texas, there are about 10 20 percent who report less than high school and we have 11 about 10 percent. 12 At -- we're close on the other high -- 13 education factors and also Hispanic origin, where we 14 report about 20 percent whereas the adult Hispanic 15 population in the state of Texas, according to the 16 census, is about 28 percent. 17 So those two factors are off a little bit 18 from the population. The rest are very close. I don't 19 think that any of them are off enough to affect the 20 analysis. But that's the results that we have. 21 Bob, let's go then to the next chart. 22 The next chart looks at the percent of 23 the population saying that they have played any of the 24 lottery games from the initiation of the lottery in 25 1993 until the present. The top bar -- tool 6, of 0044 1 course -- represents the results of our survey. All 2 the other bars represent the results of previous 3 surveys. 4 And you can see that, in general, there's 5 been a decline in participation over the years up until 6 perhaps this particular year, 2005, where we show this 7 year roughly 51 percent say they played any of the 8 lottery games in comparison to 47 percent last year. 9 So for the first time in a long time, it 10 looks like the percent saying they played at least has 11 not declined. And I think we might conclude perhaps 12 that the proportion playing has stabilized at about 13 50-percent level. 14 Bob, let's go to the next chart. 15 The next table looks at the demographic 16 characteristics of players and nonplayers and compares 17 them on a number of demographic characteristics. You 18 can see those on the board. We have income, education, 19 race, Hispanic origin, gender, age and employment 20 status. 21 And there are some variances in all of 22 those categories reported. However, the only three 23 that are statistically significant and, therefore, for 24 which we have confidence that these represent the 25 population, are: 0045 1 Gender, where males report playing more 2 heavily than do females by a small -- reasonably small 3 percent; education, where there's a increase in play up 4 until the some college/no degree category, where about 5 56.8 percent say they play, and decline after that; and 6 finally, employment status, where those employed 7 indicate that they play at significantly higher rates 8 than those unemployed. 9 None of the other characteristics that we 10 looked at distinguished significantly between players 11 and nonplayers this year. 12 Bob, let's go to the next chart, please. 13 The next table, which in the report is 14 presented as table three, is a complex table with lots 15 of information, as you see. It's so large that we have 16 to put it in two -- two parts on our -- on the board. 17 But what we have here is, for every 18 lottery game, we've indicated the number and the sample 19 who say they play, the percent who say they play, the 20 average number of times played per week, the average 21 number of times played per month, the average number of 22 times played per year, the average spent per play, 23 average spent per month as a mean, and the average 24 spent per month presented as a median. 25 I won't go through all of that with you 0046 1 except to just make a couple of highlight points. 2 Bob, go to the next chart, please. 3 First of all, the most popular game again 4 this year is indicated to be Lotto Texas, where 84 5 percent of our sample say they play that or say they 6 played that within the last year. The least popular is 7 Texas Two Step, played by only 15 percent of the 8 population. 9 And in terms of frequency of play, the 10 various scratch-off games tended to be played more 11 often than others. And I'll not report any of the 12 other details of that except to say that this parallels 13 very closely with the same results found in last -- 14 last year's study, 2005. 15 As an example, that year 80 percent said 16 they had played Lotto Texas. We found 84 percent. So 17 it's -- the percentages in each of those categories are 18 roughly parallel to that. 19 Then we conclude the report with a number 20 of charts that show various bar graphs. Each of the -- 21 each of the charts shows a set of bars that indicate 22 the percent in that category of person playing lottery 23 this last year and also shows a set of bars indicating 24 how much they say they spend per month. The percent 25 playing are in blue and the amount spent per month is 0047 1 in red. 2 The first chart presents that by 3 education. And you can see that respondents with a 4 college degree and graduate degrees report playing at 5 levels somewhat lower than the rest of the population. 6 And that difference is statistically significant. 7 You could also see that the amount of 8 money spent per month on Texas lottery games tends to 9 decline consistently with levels of education, from a 10 high for those with less than a high school education 11 of about 50 dollars a month to low for those with a 12 graduate education of about 13 dollars a month. And 13 that really should shift statistically significant. 14 The next set of charts looks at those 15 behaviors by income. And while there's a lot going on 16 in those bars as you see up and down, none of the 17 relationships are statistically significant, meaning 18 that the relationships are not large enough that we can 19 report they do or do not represent relationships in the 20 population. 21 The next chart looks at lottery play and 22 dollars spent by racial categories. Here you can see 23 that rates of participation are highest for blacks or 24 African-Americans and lowest for those in the other 25 bar, which in Texas is primarily Asian. 0048 1 However, that relationship is not 2 statistically significant. But when we look at 3 expenditures per month, we see that blacks or 4 African-Americans report spending the largest amount of 5 money per month and white respondents report spending 6 the least. And that difference is statistically 7 significant. 8 So while the percent playing between the 9 races does not differ statistically, the amount of 10 money spent by those playing does tend to differ in a 11 significant way. 12 The next chart looks at -- separately, it 13 compares Hispanic players with non-Hispanic players, in 14 terms of percent playing and amount of money spent per 15 month. And you can see that there are no significant 16 differences reported there. 17 The next chart looks at percent play and 18 amount spent by gender. And you can see that males do 19 significantly report playing more so than do women. 20 But the difference spent per month is only two dollars 21 and it's not statistically significant. 22 The next figure looks at percent play and 23 dollars spent by age. And you can see that, while 24 there are some variances reported there in the sample, 25 none of those differences are statistically 0049 1 significant. 2 The final chart that we will report on 3 today looks at play and amounts spent by employment 4 status. You can see again that participation rates of 5 those employed are higher than for the unemployed or 6 the retired. And the difference is statistically 7 significant. 8 And you can see that the reported 9 differences spent per month by those various categories 10 are not statistically significant. 11 So I will conclude my report with this 12 summary. We find the rates of participation appears to 13 have leveled off this year. For the first time in 14 several years, the percent saying they have played any 15 of the lottery games in the past year did not decline 16 from the previous survey. 17 Point two: In terms of those demographic 18 factors related to play, we found participation to vary 19 significantly by gender, education and employment 20 status. Men, those with some college, and those 21 employed report playing at higher rates than others. 22 And finally, in terms of amount of money 23 spent, we found those characteristics to be most 24 directly and significantly related to be race and 25 education. Those with lower levels of education and 0050 1 blacks or African-Americans reported spending more per 2 month when they played than the other respondents. 3 And that concludes our report. 4 CHAIR CLOWE: Very good. Gary, do you 5 have any comments on this? 6 MR. GRIEF: Just briefly, Chairman and 7 Commissioner Cox. My comments in reading through the 8 report, when I look at the rates of participation and 9 the amount of money spent by those different 10 categories, none of that is surprising to me. I think 11 it's fairly consistent with past reports. 12 I think it's very important that anyone 13 who reads this report have a good understanding of what 14 the term "statistically significant" means. And I hope 15 that, when everyone goes away from the meeting today, 16 that we all have a good understanding of that. 17 The encouraging part of the report for me 18 was the 51 percent that reported playing the lottery 19 over the past year. And I think that is a -- a direct 20 reflection of the success that this agency is having 21 with marketing our products towards all players. 22 And finally, after three or four, or 23 whatever the number was, of consecutive years of 24 decline, we've seen a stabilization at least in this 25 report. We could see that change next year. 0051 1 But in general, that's my response to 2 this report. 3 CHAIR CLOWE: Any questions? 4 COMMISSIONER COX: I do have a couple of 5 questions. 6 Dr. Cole, I'm interested in how these 7 spending numbers that you determined per person would 8 blow up to the population, the adult population of 9 Texas. 10 DR. COLE: Yes. 11 COMMISSIONER COX: For instance, if we 12 look at figure six, we show how many females play. We 13 know how many adult females there are in Texas. We 14 know how much each -- we have a number here for what 15 each spends. 16 And if we do that for the women and we do 17 that for the men, would we get something like three and 18 a half billion dollars? 19 DR. COLE: Well, you should for sure. 20 I -- I did a quick extrapolation myself. I think, to 21 actually do it correctly as you say, you would have to 22 take literally every category of respondent because 23 every category plays at a different rate. And when 24 they play, they spend at a different level. 25 So I think you would have to take a very 0052 1 large matrix and blow every single one of them up to 2 the population and then add them up to do that. And I 3 did not do that. 4 But I did take a quick approximation, 5 taken all adult Texans 18 years of age older and 6 multiplying it by the percent in this study who say 7 they spent and use them as a monthly multiplier an 8 amount of money on average -- on average spent 9 correcting for the very extreme cases those who 10 reported spending more than one standard deviation 11 above the average, multiplying that by 12. 12 And I get a figure of roughly 3.8 billion 13 dollars plus or minus, you know, an error factor there. 14 I think the actual expenditure for the last 12 months 15 was around 3.6 billion. So it's a rough approximation. 16 Again as I say, I think to do it one 17 hundred percent accurately, you would need to do it for 18 every category of the sample. And I would guess, if so 19 done, it would be even closer to the 3.6 million. 20 COMMISSIONER COX: Okay. So you did it 21 for which one of the particular slices? 22 DR. COLE: I did it for the entire 23 sample, for the entire sample. 24 COMMISSIONER COX: For the entire sample? 25 DR. COLE: Yes, sir. 0053 1 COMMISSIONER COX: Okay. So there might 2 be an over and under, if we took gender versus income 3 or something like that? 4 DR. COLE: Right. Right, definitely. 5 COMMISSIONER COX: So you know it didn't 6 come out to five and a half or one and a half? 7 DR. COLE: Pardon me? 8 COMMISSIONER COX: You know it wasn't way 9 off. It was -- 10 DR. COLE: Right. It was very -- it was 11 very close. 12 COMMISSIONER COX: So if there's 13 underreporting or overreporting or just general 14 inaccuracy, it doesn't look like to you it's very big? 15 DR. COLE: Right. That's true, sir. 16 COMMISSIONER COX: Thank you, Mr. 17 Chairman. 18 CHAIR CLOWE: Gentlemen, we thank you. 19 We appreciate the report and your concise report to us. 20 DR. COLE: Thank you very much. 21 CHAIR CLOWE: Thanks, Mike. 22 Commissioner, may I move we go into executive session 23 at this time? 24 COMMISSIONER COX: Do you want to try to 25 get Dr. Eubank? 0054 1 CHAIR CLOWE: Sure. Where are we with 2 him? What item? 3 COMMISSIONER COX: I don't know which 4 item. 5 MR. GRIEF: Nine. 6 CHAIR CLOWE: Say it again. 7 MR. GRIEF: Nine. 8 AGENDA ITEM NO. IX 9 CHAIR CLOWE: Then let's take up next 10 item number nine, report, possible discussion and/or 11 action on the lottery terminal functionality, including 12 the quick pick feature, for all games and/or impact to 13 players. 14 Mr. Anger? 15 MR. ANGER: Good afternoon, 16 Commissioners. For the record, my name is Michael 17 Anger. I'm the Lottery Operations director. 18 Commissioners, I'm joined at the table today to your 19 left by Dr. Randall Eubank, the agency's statistical 20 consulting services vendor. 21 And I'm also joined today on your right 22 by Chenghui Luo, consulting software engineer, and Ron 23 Goodrich, technical manager for Gtech Corporation. 24 Dr. Eubank has joined us today to report 25 on his analysis of quick pick related data to terminal 0055 1 functionality for all the Texas Lottery online games. 2 In addition to his initial analysis, Dr. Eubank worked 3 with representatives from Gtech, including Mr. Luo, to 4 complete secondary review and analysis related to his 5 initial findings. 6 Mr. Luo and Mr. Goodrich have been -- 7 been kind enough to make themselves available today to 8 respond to any questions following Dr. Eubank's 9 presentation. And with that, I'll turn it over to 10 Dr. Eubank. 11 DR. EUBANK: Good afternoon. For the 12 record, my name is Randy Eubank. I am a professor in 13 the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at Arizona 14 State University. It's nice to be in Austin again and 15 Hook 'Em Horns. I can say -- as an Aggie, I can say 16 that here and get away with it and -- 17 CHAIR CLOWE: We thank you for that. 18 COMMISSIONER COX: There was a shirt out 19 there that said Gig 'Em Horns. 20 DR. EUBANK: But not at A&M. I can say 21 that much. 22 COMMISSIONER COX: It was actually 23 maroon. 24 DR. EUBANK: As -- as Michael indicated, 25 the reason I'm here is, over the last few months, I've 0056 1 been working on the analysis of data that had been 2 supplied to me by Gtech on their quick pick generation 3 mechanisms. 4 And so today I want to talk -- tell you a 5 little bit about what I've done and some of the things 6 that have come up as part of that analysis. 7 Before I -- I go -- I delve into this and 8 overkill everybody with numbers, I want to go off on a 9 couple of tangents here and to preface some of the 10 things that come up. And the first thing I want to 11 talk about for just a couple of minutes has to do with 12 random number generation. 13 So when we're talking about the quick 14 pick generation mechanism or whether we're talking 15 about (inaudible) method of generating the -- the 16 megapliers, there's various -- various bells and 17 whistles that get added on top of this to make things 18 truly random. 19 But at the heart behind all this work is 20 something called a random number generator or pseudo 21 random number generator. And this is -- even though it 22 may be relatively new in terms of the experience of 23 some of the people in the room, this is a technology 24 that goes back -- it basically traces its way back to 25 the beginning of computers when people started putting 0057 1 computers together. 2 And some of the big names from 3 mathematics and computer science pop up here. So the 4 technology goes back into the 1940s with very good 5 random number generators starting in about 1950. So in 6 scientific terms, this is pretty old stuff. This has 7 been around for a long, long time. 8 So there's nothing startling in terms of 9 random -- what's going on with random number 10 generators. And beyond that, the -- so random number 11 generators have been extensively studied in -- in the 12 public sector, at the universities, National Bureau of 13 Standards and other places of that nature. 14 And these are a publicly-available, open 15 source. They cost the price that I can afford, zero. 16 People can get them for nothing. And they -- they're 17 known to work exceptionally well. So for -- as an 18 example of that, there's something that's fairly recent 19 in this context. It's something called Mersenne 20 Twister. 21 And so the Mersenne Twister is -- let me 22 briefly talk about what a random number generator does. 23 You give it a starting point. And what this algorithm 24 does is it spits out a long sequence, hopefully a long 25 sequence of numbers. And one or two things can happen. 0058 1 At some point, either the numbers all 2 become zero or, at some point, the sequence starts over 3 again. Now that doesn't mean that the sequence can't 4 have the same numbers in it sometime. 5 What I'm saying is, at some point, if you 6 knew where it started and you knew where it's going to 7 start again, you can see every -- you know everything 8 that's going to happen after that point when it starts 9 over. 10 Now the -- how long it takes for this 11 thing to start over is the period of the random number 12 generator. And things in the order of two-to-the-30 13 and so on are not -- are relatively standard. Well, 14 the Mersenne Twister has a period of -- and this is 15 public -- this is open source code. 16 I can tell you two places that you can go 17 and download the C code for this for nothing. You may 18 not be able to afford a Cadillac Coupe de Ville, but 19 you can have the Coupe de Ville of random number 20 generators on your own PC for zero dollars. 21 All right? And that's this Mersenne 22 Twister. It has period two-to-the-20,000 roughly. Now 23 to give you some context of how big that is, 24 two-to-the-30 is about 4.3 billion, which is what they 25 tell me Gtech is -- add or subtract about point -- a 0059 1 trivial .2 billion and you'll get about the -- what 2 I've heard is about what was paid for Gtech by 3 Lottomatica. 4 And I -- I don't know what that is in 5 lira. So -- so but anyway, that gives you some sense. 6 I mean, so this is two-to-the-30 -- 30 or 32, actually. 7 And so two-to-the-20,000 thousand, you -- if we started 8 that on -- on something like Texas Two Step and we used 9 that for generating the sequences there, the sun would 10 probably burn out before we'd have to worry about it 11 starting over again. And that's something -- I'd like 12 to be around for that, but I don't think I will. 13 All right. Now so the -- the -- the -- 14 at issue here is that Gtech -- there are lots of really 15 good random number generators out there that are in the 16 public domain that have been tested, that have been -- 17 there's published research on them. Scientists have 18 looked at them. They've proved theorems about them and 19 have extensively simulated them to where they really 20 understand them. They've found some good ones and 21 they've found some bad ones. But the good ones are out 22 there and they cost you nothing. 23 Gtech doesn't use any of those. And now 24 that doesn't mean that their random number generator is 25 either good or bad. But a lot of things that I've done 0060 1 that I'll talk about today would not -- would have been 2 moot issues if one of these had been used because it 3 would be something that you could point to a spot in 4 the literature and say there's 47 hundred articles on 5 this that have already proved that it worked. 6 All right. Now back to the other thing, 7 which the previous discussion talked about a little bit 8 and so I maybe don't have to say so much about this, is 9 the term "statistical significance" because I'm going 10 to -- this is going to come up a lot. 11 So let me go back over again what -- what 12 that means. Now the term "statistical significance," 13 when I say something is statistically significant, it 14 means that something has happened that I don't expect 15 to happen under a presumed model. 16 Now when I say model, I'm not talking 17 about some sort of arcane mathematical construct. 18 Models are really very simple things that lots of 19 things -- in the context of the lottery, for example, 20 in the case of Cash Five, there are something like 21 about 400 thousand ways that you can choose five 22 numbers from 37. Those are every possible board that 23 you can get in Cash Five. There's about 400 thousand 24 of them. 25 So a model here would be that every one 0061 1 of those boards has the same chance of being selected 2 or every one of those possible boards has the same 3 chance of being generated by the quick pick generation 4 methods. 5 So if I say that something's 6 statistically significant in the context of Cash Five, 7 what I'm saying is I'm seeing departure from what I 8 would have expected under this uniform generation 9 model. And that's -- that's what I mean. 10 Now unusual things happen. And my 11 standard -- there are three standard rates that -- that 12 people use for level of significance: Five percent, 10 13 percent and one percent. I like to think of these 14 things as -- I like to think of this from the 15 standpoint of trial by jury. 16 The level of significance is my 17 reasonable doubt. The model here is what's on trial 18 and I'm trying to convict the model. And the level of 19 the significance is my reasonable doubt. 20 Now just like in trial by jury, I can 21 never be sure -- I can never be sure that somebody is 22 guilty. I don't have to be sure. We only have to be 23 sure beyond a reasonable doubt. If we had to be 24 absolutely sure, there would never -- I would -- 25 wouldn't have to worry about committing crimes. 0062 1 So the -- the difference between this and 2 trial by jury is that we have standards that we usually 3 go by. And it's the five percent, 10 percent and one 4 percent. My typical use here is the five-percent 5 level, which means that I call something unusual if I 6 would only see it in about one out of every 20 times if 7 everything was working exactly right or five times out 8 of a hundred if everything was working -- was working 9 exactly right. 10 Because unusual things can happen -- 11 because unusual things can happen, that doesn't 12 necessarily mean the model is incorrect if I say that 13 something's significant. It just means that there's 14 evidence beyond a reasonable doubt that it's not 15 correct. 16 Sometimes guilty people get put in jail. 17 And sometimes innocent ones get put in there. All 18 right. 19 And the last thing has to do with 20 statistical significance versus practical significance. 21 And I think this is something that I probably can't 22 emphasize enough. The two terms can coincide but they 23 may not if -- an example of that, let's -- let's 24 suppose that I have a new drug that is able to cure one 25 more person out of a million than the drug that's 0063 1 currently in place. 2 If you give me enough data on it, at some 3 point I will eventually be able to show that there's a 4 statistically significant difference between the two 5 drugs. And the question is whether or not that's 6 practically significant. 7 If you're that one person out of a 8 million, you'd probably say that it was. But if you 9 were on the board of directors at Pfizer, you wouldn't 10 change your entire marketing mechanism to do something 11 which, in your opinion, in the global structure 12 probably is not worth the effort. 13 So they would -- somebody would call 14 that -- at Pfizer, they would say that that's of no 15 practical significance. All right. Now that's the 16 setup. So now I get to spend the next few minutes on 17 the punch line. 18 The -- this all began, as you know, on 19 June 16th when Gtech reported that they had detected an 20 abnormality in the quick pick generation mechanism for 21 Pick 3 so the numbers one, two, three and four were 22 being picked more often than they should be, around 11 23 percent, and the other numbers were being picked in -- 24 with a smaller chance than they should be. 25 So they -- they corrected the code and 0064 1 tested the new -- the new implementation of it and 2 indicated that everything had -- was fine at that 3 point. Now shortly after that was when I got a call 4 from Michael, as I recall. 5 And I was asked to take -- to undertake 6 the following project. I had -- there was three parts 7 to this. One was to -- using data provided by Gtech, I 8 was to analyze live quick pick transactions taken place 9 immediately before the code fix, before the problem was 10 detected, live data after the problem was detected -- 11 this is all for Pick 3 -- and also do a complete 12 analysis of the quick pick generations for all the 13 online games, including Pick 3. 14 The data that I received for this had -- 15 came in three forms. There was live data that comes 16 from whatever the standard terminal is that Gtech uses 17 in most of the -- in most of the stores. But there are 18 two other types of terminals. 19 And I know less than -- I'll say what 20 little bit I know. I won't go into the details of 21 this. There are two other types of terminals that 22 are -- that are used. They're not used very frequently 23 or they're in locations that are of -- that don't get a 24 lot of business. 25 They're called GTD and SST. And because 0065 1 they're used so seldom or used not as much, it would 2 take a long time to generate the amount of data that I 3 need to do the analysis. So I decided on the basis of 4 that that those terminals, the data I'll get from them 5 would be simulated. 6 So they would have a terminal. They'd 7 set it up and it would go off and generate the -- the 8 quick picks. And that was the data that I looked at. 9 So the -- the methodology -- one of the 10 reasons I was asked to do this is to give sort of an 11 independent view of the whole thing from a different 12 approach. And that's -- that was my perspective on 13 this. I didn't -- to my knowledge, I didn't repeat any 14 of the tests that Gtech would have used for this. 15 I came at it from the -- from the point 16 of view of a blank slate. And the basic problems that 17 arise here, in terms of testing or uniformity in two 18 cases, you've either got numbers that are picked from a 19 group of numbers with replacement or without 20 replacement. 21 In the context of Cash Five, you're 22 selecting five numbers from 37. You can't get the 23 number 1-1-1-1-1. Okay? That can't come up because 24 you do it without replacement. So that's a case of 25 sampling without replacement. 0066 1 Something like Pick 3, for example, you 2 can get a triple: 0-0-0 could come up. And so that's 3 a case where you're sampling with replacement. 4 The -- and then there are sort of mixes 5 of these. With something where you have a bonus ball, 6 you can think of that as basically being a mix where 7 you have without replacement for the -- the primary 8 board. And then the bonus ball is something that you 9 could think of as being sampled without replacement or 10 with replacement, rather. 11 So to find out the things that were sort 12 of the good things to do, I went to a database, 13 statistical database, called the current index to 14 statistics. And this is a huge database, went back 15 many years, looks -- all the standard journal -- a lot 16 of nonstandard journals. 17 And I knew some of this literature was 18 out there already. But to make sure that I was 19 thorough, I went through the -- this large database, 20 found some interesting things, did my search engine 21 work through there and looked at more statistical 22 articles than most people would ever want to look at 23 and came up with a collection of methodology. 24 The details on that you can find in the 25 reports. So you can -- you can trace those down if 0067 1 you're interested. I won't go into any great detail 2 other than that and other than to say that I think I 3 was thorough in finding the good -- the good things. 4 So now let me talk a little bit about the 5 data analysis itself. So the -- I won't give the 6 details on how much data I had. As I -- as I go any 7 further along, I won't spend much time on that. 8 But -- but for the Pick 3 case, let me 9 talk about that for just a couple of seconds. So I had 10 about 140 thousand live quick picks prior, for Pick 3 11 prior to the -- the code problem and about 120 thousand 12 after the code fix. And then there was a hundred 13 thousand simulated from the GBT, 150 thousand from the 14 SST terminals. 15 My analysis didn't show anything of 16 interest on the simulated data, so I won't talk about 17 that. But I will talk for a couple minutes about the 18 -- the two live data sets. 19 Now one of the issues here is just to see 20 if the -- to talk about what was actually going on 21 prior to the code fix. And what I want to show you 22 here is, this is a corresponding confidence interval. 23 Simultaneous corresponding confidence intervals 24 actually correspond -- they were constructed from the 25 -- the live data set prior to the code fix that show -- 0068 1 these are things which, with 95-percent simultaneously, 2 have a probability of capturing whatever the true 3 probability of getting a 0-1-2-3 and so on. 4 Now you can see -- if you look here, you 5 can see. Here is this .93 or .093. And here's about 6 .11. These are what the true probabilities should have 7 been if the code problem was as it had been -- as it -- 8 as it had been diagnosed. 9 These are confidence levels constructed 10 from the sample. As long as the red dots are inside 11 the blue lines, that's -- that's consistent with what 12 they believe the code -- the problem in the code was. 13 And so looking at this, one would say 14 that they actually hit the nail right on the head and 15 did -- they -- they did know exactly what the issue 16 was. 17 After the code was fixed, everything 18 should have occurred with probability .1. And that's 19 what these true probabilities are. And here are the 20 corresponding confidence intervals, of course, that -- 21 that resulted from the live data after the code fix. 22 Now this looks strange because I've 23 changed the scale. But the scale here is only about, 24 what, three one-thousands. So this is -- this is 25 taking a microscope and looking at it. And there's 0069 1 nothing going on, in terms of all this -- looks like 2 bad dental work. 3 Now something more interesting -- 4 something more interesting here was -- what I just 5 showed you was a univariate marginal distribution. I 6 looked at how many times I saw 0-1-2-3 and so on. But 7 there's another way to look at this data because these 8 -- they really come to us in threes. 9 Each board has three things on it and 10 there are one thousand possibilities starting from 11 0-0-0, 0-0-1, 0-0-2 and so all the way -- and so on, 12 all the way up to 9-9-9. And that's what I'm going to 13 show you next. 14 So I looked at every -- I had enough data 15 where I could look at every one thousand of these 16 things. And that's what this plot is right here. This 17 is a -- a -- basically a histogram. I'm showing you 18 the frequency of times that I saw numbers everywhere 19 from 0-0-0 up to -- to 9-9-9. 20 And this is -- for those of you -- I'm 21 sorry. For those of you who do crossword puzzles, I'm 22 going to -- this is a new word that you'll want to 23 remember. This is in lexicographic order starting with 24 0-0-0, 0-0-1, 0-0-2, all the way up to 9-9-9. 25 Now this red line here is the -- sort of 0070 1 the no-fly zone. It's the -- it's an -- it's a 2 simultaneous upper bound. And if everything is working 3 as it should -- if everything is working as it 4 should -- there's people that probably have to -- are 5 going to have hearing problems now after -- after the 6 amp amplified my voice, which doesn't need much 7 amplification. 8 This is the no-fly zone right here. 9 Things shouldn't come up above here. Everything should 10 be -- all these spikes or all these -- these bars and 11 histograms should all be -- and you can see that 12 there's several of them up above it. 13 And if you look, it's easy to diagnose. 14 This is 0-0-0, 1-1-1, 2-2-2, 3-3-3 and so on. All the 15 triples were getting picked with higher probability 16 than they should have. 17 So -- and this is -- this is for the 18 post, after the fix, live data. The same things showed 19 up in the prefix live -- live data. 20 I wrote a report on this. This 21 information was passed on to Gtech. They did some 22 investigation. Their conclusion was that the reason 23 this had happened was because there was a terminal 24 functionality that would allow players/attendants to 25 reject a quick pick and that that was what had caused 0071 1 the problem. 2 There were -- there were places where the 3 players were just sitting there rejecting quick picks 4 until they got them something that they liked. And I 5 guess they liked triples. 6 Well, in any case, the -- the terminal 7 quick pick functionality was -- was turned off. A new 8 set of data was collected. And this is basically the 9 same picture I showed you a minute ago except now I'm 10 showing you both upper and low bounds for this. And 11 instead of the bars, I'm just putting some circles 12 here. 13 CHAIR CLOWE: Dr. Eubank, let me ask 14 you -- 15 DR. EUBANK: Sure. 16 CHAIR CLOWE: -- to define more fully 17 what you mean when you say players were allowed to 18 reject. 19 DR. EUBANK: They -- 20 MR. ANGER: Chairman, essentially with 21 the quick pick game -- and I'll ask representatives 22 from Gtech to -- Gtech Texas to step to the table and 23 correct me if my explanation is inaccurate. 24 But with the Pick 3 game, the quick pick 25 generation actually would take place on the display 0072 1 screen. So the number would generate and the clerk 2 could see the number that came up when they hit the 3 quick pick button before completing and sending the 4 rest of the transaction through. 5 CHAIR CLOWE: Before it's printed? 6 MR. ANGER: Before it printed. And that 7 was unique to just that game. None of the other games 8 could you see the -- the random number that was 9 generated, random number combination that was generated 10 prior to the generation of the ticket. 11 That took place off screen. And so when 12 the ticket generated, that's the first time you would 13 see it. 14 CHAIR CLOWE: So did the players then 15 look at the screen with the attendant and the number 16 would come up on the screen and they would say "No, I 17 don't want that" and then there would be another quick 18 pick display? 19 MR. ANGER: That is my understanding. 20 Gtech -- we presented this information to Gtech. They 21 went out and spoke to stores out in the field and 22 communicated with their service representatives out in 23 the field. And that is the explanation that came back. 24 So Gtech suppressed the functionality 25 that would allow that quick pick number to be generated 0073 1 and shown on the screen prior to the transaction. And 2 when they did and they provided new data to Dr. Eubank, 3 this anomaly that he showed on a prior screen that 4 triples came through at a higher rate disappeared and 5 everything -- and I'll defer to Dr. Eubank that 6 everything returned to a normal distribution. 7 CHAIR CLOWE: And I've never heard of 8 that before. And I assume -- I believe I heard you say 9 that's the only game where a preview, if I could call 10 it by that title, appeared before the ticket was 11 printed and a player might be allowed to reject the 12 quick pick and go on and make additional and other 13 choices. 14 MR. ANGER: That is correct. 15 CHAIR CLOWE: And that's been removed? 16 MR. ANGER: It has. 17 CHAIR CLOWE: Okay. 18 DR. EUBANK: So as Michael said, after 19 the -- with the data that -- that we received after 20 this functionality had been removed, you don't see -- 21 so this is basically the same sort of thing. We have 22 -- I have now an upper and lower no-fly zone because I 23 want to look for things in either direction. 24 And you don't see the triples again. Now 25 this is, I think, the number 4-1-6. And that -- this 0074 1 is simultaneously. Every one of these one thousand 2 things should be in here. So this is something that 3 shouldn't have happened either. 4 But it's completely different from what 5 we saw a second ago. So I -- I'm not going to talk 6 about that in any depth. I don't have any explanation 7 for it other than to say that this is a piece of 8 evidence and sort of move to the -- to the next one. 9 Now so for Cash Five, nothing that I did 10 revealed anything of substance, any sort of source of 11 thing that's out of the -- sort of the norm for what we 12 would expect from a statistical perspective. 13 For the Texas Two Step data, there was no 14 problem with the simulated data. But for the live 15 data, there were tests that I did on bivariate marginal 16 distributions that showed up having a P-value of .1. 17 Now what is a P-value? A P-value -- 18 we'll talk about this in a little bit, but let me go 19 back and say it again. It's basically the observed 20 level of significance. So when I say that something 21 has a P-value of .01, I'm saying that there's about a 22 one-percent chance that something like this would 23 happen if everything was working exactly like you would 24 expect it to. 25 I -- my cutoff is five percent. And so 0075 1 anything below five percent I call statistically 2 significant. So this is statistically significant in 3 the sense of what I think of as evidence beyond a 4 reasonable doubt. 5 Now what is the bivariate marginal 6 distribution? Let me talk about that for just a 7 second. This is on the primary boards for Texas Two 8 Step. So that's four numbers taken from 35 without 9 replacement. 10 The univariate marginal distributions 11 mean I look at the number -- I look at the number 1, 2, 12 3, 4, all the way to 35. And I see how much -- how 13 often they come up. Bivariate says I look at 1 in 14 combination with 2, 3, 4, how many times on a board did 15 I see 1 with 2, 1 with 3, 1 with 4, all the way to 1 16 with 35, 2 with 3, 2 with 4, all the way up to 2 with 17 35 and so on. 18 There's about 600 of these combinations 19 that you look at. And you can test under the model 20 that everything's being generated with -- with -- all 21 the boards appear with uniform frequency. All these 22 pairs have to appear with uniform frequency, as well. 23 So there was indication that that was not 24 being -- that those boards were not -- that -- the 25 quick picks generated for the primary boards for Texas 0076 1 Two Step game were not being generated with this 2 uniform frequency, at least in terms of the way the -- 3 the data showed on the bivariate distributions, 4 bivariate margins. 5 So for the -- the Lotto Texas game, none 6 of the live data sets had any issues. But for the -- 7 both the simulated data, some unusual things happened. 8 For the data from the GBT terminal, there were issues 9 that arose with both the univariate and bivariate 10 marginal distributions for the primary boards, the 11 P-values that fell below my five-percent cutoff, about 12 two percent, two and a half percent. 13 And then for the SST terminal data, there 14 were the -- when you looked at the bonus numbers that 15 appear on the generated boards, those showed up as 16 being statistically significantly different from 17 uniformity at something along the one-percent level. 18 All right. And finally with Mega 19 Millions, nothing untold showed up. So let me 20 summarize and then try to say a few other words that 21 maybe puts this in a -- in a proper context. 22 First of all, what -- if you look back at 23 everything that happened, we've certainly seen some 24 unusual things that we wouldn't have expected to see. 25 And it's not only unusual in a statistical sense but 0077 1 it's also, I have to admit, unusual in my experience 2 working with random number generation. 3 Certainly when I signed on to -- to do 4 this project, I had no idea that I would see some of 5 the things that I saw. And there have been some -- a 6 number of hours of sleep lost in my life as a result of 7 that. 8 But to say this -- to put this all in 9 sort of a global perspective, you have to actually talk 10 about what unusual means here. And unusual certainly 11 depends on the level of significance that you use. 12 Gtech, in terms of the analysis that they 13 do, they -- their level of significance that they use 14 is about -- and depends on how you say that. But to 15 get a -- a correct comparison to the sort of way that I 16 did my test and the way they do things, their level of 17 significance was about -- is about a half a percent. 18 And so is it that I'm just being too 19 picky with my five percent? And I think the answer is 20 here that neither one of us is -- we're really doing 21 different things. So one can't say that half a percent 22 is something that you could use all the time or 23 necessarily that five percent is something they should 24 use or that half a percent is something I -- I should 25 use. 0078 1 So the way I think about significance 2 here, the only way I think you should even think about 3 significance, levels of significance, is in terms of 4 repeated sampling. So the idea is that, if I could do 5 this thing again and again and again, then if I'm using 6 a five-percent level of significance, about five 7 percent of the time I'm going to see something unusual 8 that's going to happen. 9 Now in the real world, most of the time 10 we only get one sample. And I would claim, to at least 11 a certain extent, that I only had one sample here. I 12 had -- and I'm going to waffle on that in a minute. 13 But for right now, I claim that, in terms of SST for -- 14 the SST terminal data for Lotto Texas, I only had one 15 of those. 16 I didn't have 200 thousand of those. I 17 only had one. And if that's the case, then you have to 18 make a call. So I've got something that's significant 19 at the five-percent level. What's going on? Is 20 this -- is the -- is the defendant guilty? Is there 21 evidence beyond a reasonable doubt? 22 I don't necessarily mean that I'm sure 23 that they're -- they're guilty, but I'm sure beyond a 24 reasonable doubt or not. In trial by jury, you can't 25 say well, okay, let's let him go and see if he does the 0079 1 crime again. 2 I mean, no -- nobody's going to do that. 3 And that's the way data analysis is. You don't get 4 another run at it. So as a rule, you only see it one 5 time. And from that perspective, something like the 6 five-percent level is a reasonable thing to do. 7 Now the unique thing about random number 8 generation is that it's -- it's the one case that I 9 know of that's completely different from the -- what 10 mostly happens in the real world. It's one case and 11 it, of course, is a real-world scenario, too. 12 It's the one case that I know of that's 13 different in the sense that you can generate data -- 14 and by the way, I'm from Texas A&M. I have to say 15 this. You can generate that until the cows come home. 16 And nobody's going to stop you. 17 You own your random number generator, you 18 can just keep on doing it. I wrote a random number 19 generation routine. I took one -- one of these 20 off-the-shelf things, got it out of the textbook, wrote 21 it up in a couple hours, had data going, and I 22 generated data set after data set after data set that 23 would have been -- you could view as being the primary 24 boards for Texas Two Step. 25 And by doing that again and again and 0080 1 again, I can prove to any level of significance that 2 you want whether my random number generator is working 3 or not. That's -- Monte Carlo simulation is the only 4 place that I know of that you can just keep on doing it 5 and, if you want a certain level of accuracy, you can 6 get there. Just let that computer run long enough. 7 So the -- the problem here is that, with 8 the way things work for Gtech, there are some technical 9 difficulties with doing that. So you can say, "Why 10 doesn't Gtech just do that and just prove to us beyond 11 any doubt that their random number generator's working 12 the right way?" 13 There's technical difficulties with doing 14 so. So I -- I view this as -- it's just -- it's -- 15 it's -- it's a problem, in a -- in a certain sense, 16 that it makes life a little bit more difficult than it 17 should have been in that there -- there's sort of a 18 double-whammy here. 19 There's not a random number generator 20 that's being used that's one of these things that's 21 been studied extensively in the public sector with -- 22 with lots of literature and backup on it. And on the 23 other hand, because of the way that the mechanism is -- 24 has been created for generating these quick picks, you 25 can't actually say, well, I'm just going to show you 0081 1 that it works. 2 So instead, we're -- we're left with a 3 situation like the one we've got where I looked at some 4 data. I found some stuff that's strange. And, you 5 know, does it mean there's something not right or -- or 6 what? 7 Now -- now I'll waffle on what I said a 8 minute ago. So I said that I only had one sample. 9 Well, that's true but it's also not true. I actually 10 had 17 different data sets that I looked at. And I 11 looked at a whole lot of statistical tests. 12 So I found a number that were 13 significant. But is it because sometimes strange 14 things happen? Could it be that I -- I looked at a lot 15 of tests. It came up that we saw several of these 16 things that -- that were significant. 17 And so we've seen some evidence. And the 18 question is whether or not -- is the evidence 19 sufficient to convict? Now so how does a person go 20 about doing that? 21 Well, it turns out that this happened at 22 a opportune time because there had been a good bit of 23 interest in something lately that has to do with 24 statistical genetics and connections to micro ray 25 study. 0082 1 There's something that -- that's gotten a 2 lot of interest in the literature lately called working 3 with false discovery protection. So the idea is you're 4 doing a lot of tests and you want to be sure at some 5 level, which is roughly like the level of significance, 6 of not -- you want to ensure yourself that you don't 7 get too many false discoveries. 8 There's a number of procedures that are 9 out there for doing that. And I instituted one of 10 these. It's something that was developed by Benjamini 11 and Hoshberg in the Journal of the Royal Statistical 12 Society in the last four or five years. 13 Now what this does is, it's a procedure 14 that you use. And you say -- you put all your tests 15 together. And it gives a lower bound for the P-values 16 for these tests. And if the -- the P-values fall below 17 these lower bounds, then you say I've seen something 18 and the defendant is guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. 19 Now I ran this at the -- the five-percent 20 level in terms of -- I mean, I controlled my false 21 discovery at the five-percent level. And so I'll -- 22 I'll cut to the chase here and I'll show you the -- the 23 results of this. 24 Now what I'm showing here, the blue 25 line -- wow, that showed up great. Didn't it? Okay. 0083 1 There they -- let me just -- so watch my -- my corner 2 here. There's the blue line. 3 And there is the red line down here. The 4 red line is the Benjamini and Hoshberg lower bound. 5 Now you can't really see it down here, but the blue 6 line is just barely above the red line. 7 If it had fallen below the red line, then 8 I would have said that, with false discovery controlled 9 at five percent, that we've actually seen something. 10 So on the basis of this, if we -- if we put it all 11 together -- and let me just say that there -- that 12 Benjamini and Hoshberg is one of the standards here. 13 There's criticisms of it. It's very 14 conservative. So it's the -- it's -- it's setting -- 15 in some ways, it sets its reasonable doubt, in terms of 16 the way it does things, a little bit -- makes things a 17 little bit more stringent, a little bit harder to get 18 across that bound. 19 But it's one of the standards in the 20 area. So there -- it's certainly a reasonable 21 technique to have used here. But using that, one 22 cannot say with certainty, at least not at this -- this 23 -- with a five-percent level of protection for false 24 discovery, you cannot say with certainty that what we 25 saw here wasn't just a result of the fact that we did a 0084 1 lot of statistical tests. 2 So I think we found a lot of evidence. 3 So if I had to summarize this, we found a lot of 4 evidence but maybe just not enough evidence to come up 5 with a guilty verdict. So my verdict on this is not 6 guilty or I -- I haven't found enough statistical 7 evidence to say that this quick pick mechanism is not 8 working exactly like it should. 9 The -- and so maybe the last thing that 10 should probably be brought up here has to do with -- 11 we've talked about statistical significance. At the 12 very beginning, I talked about practical significance. 13 So let's suppose that -- that we found 14 some other approach and we did -- that -- that this was 15 statistically significant. Would there be any 16 practical significance here? 17 And my feeling is that there would be no 18 practical significance. Whatever's happening here, if 19 anything is happening, is extremely subtle. And any 20 implications it might have, either positive or 21 negative, for the lottery or the lottery's players I 22 think are of no practical consequence and probably not 23 something that could be quantified in any way. 24 COMMISSIONER COX: I'm going to step out 25 there and ask one question. 0085 1 DR. EUBANK: Okay. Skewer me. 2 COMMISSIONER COX: Actually, two 3 questions. How many hours did all this take? 4 DR. EUBANK: I was 35 years old when I 5 started this. 6 COMMISSIONER COX: Wow. You indicated 7 early on that, if I understood it correctly, there are 8 lots of public domain, well-tested random number tables 9 out there. 10 DR. EUBANK: Yep. 11 COMMISSIONER COX: And that Gtech had not 12 chosen to use one of those and, had they chosen to use 13 one of those, your work would have been less difficult. 14 DR. EUBANK: Certainly. 15 COMMISSIONER COX: Is that an ongoing 16 problem that we would want to ask Gtech to think about 17 reconsidering the random number table that they use or 18 is it a one-time thing that's behind us now? 19 DR. EUBANK: So my -- my feeling is that 20 it -- there's no reason to ever put yourself in a 21 position where you can be questioned. So if you ask me 22 to create a random number generation mechanism, I would 23 go out and get one that -- that was -- was out in 24 the -- in the literature and I'd use it because nobody 25 could ever cause it -- nobody could ever bring what I 0086 1 was using into doubt. 2 All right? The -- the other side of this 3 has to do with this -- there's modern technology there. 4 I don't know -- I'm speaking out of school because I 5 don't know the -- all the details. But I do know that 6 the -- that the number generation mechanism that's 7 being used by Gtech is something that's been around for 8 quite some time. 9 There are modern techniques out here. 10 And I -- my feeling is that -- you know, as a person 11 who lived in Dallas and used to drive on Central 12 Expressway, the longer you wait to fix -- to bring 13 something up into today's age, the more -- the harder 14 it's going to be when you finally get around to doing 15 it. 16 So if -- if they -- if they would ask me 17 to -- should you use one of these new random number 18 generations, I -- the -- the price on them is just 19 right. 20 Now in terms of implementing it, I know 21 that it's not cheap. But it's never -- that's 22 something that has to be done, in terms of mechanics 23 and putting all this in the terminals. And I know that 24 there's cost involved here. 25 But I think in the long run -- you know, 0087 1 this is just my opinion that a layman who knows nothing 2 about the business side of things, my opinion is 3 there's no reason to ever put yourself in doubt. 4 There's wonderful things that are out 5 there that nobody could ever ask -- ever could -- 6 nobody could ever doubt you. And if they had told -- 7 if they said we use the -- this Mersenne Twister, for 8 example, I'm not sure that this whole analysis would 9 have ever made much sense. 10 COMMISSIONER COX: Thank you, Dr. Eubank. 11 CHAIR CLOWE: Well, I can see you 12 gentlemen from Gtech are just salivating at the 13 opportunity to comment on this. Who wants to be first? 14 MR. GOODRICH: For the record, my name is 15 Ron Goodrich. I'm a software technology leader in -- 16 in the -- living and working here in Austin at the 17 Gtech Austin Technology Center. 18 And I did bring a little comment I wanted 19 to read from -- from the Gtech -- from the Gtech group. 20 Actually, that -- that would be the guys that worked at 21 corporate with Dr. Eubank and some of the folks in 22 Austin that worked in collecting the six hundred tons 23 of data that was -- was analyzed. 24 First of all, they all wanted to thank 25 Dr. Eubank for the -- for working with -- with us and 0088 1 with Gtech in examining this issue. It has been -- 2 it's been a lot of work. And particularly Tom Mormon 3 and my associate, Chenghui here, spent a lot of hours 4 working on it. 5 And we do agree that there's been a 6 substantial exchange of data and discussion regarding 7 the random number generation. And it was through, 8 actually, a test proposed by Dr. Eubank that we did 9 discover that there -- you know, we agree that there is 10 some level of -- that although the selections are 11 random, there's some slight statistical deviations in a 12 couple of the games. 13 And, you know, let's not forget some of 14 the other games did -- did just come right through 15 clean. At this point, we want to emphasize that -- 16 that this issue does not have any practical effects on 17 the citizens of Texas and -- who do elect to quick pick 18 their numbers. 19 However, in agreement with Dr. Eubank and 20 an abundance of caution, Gtech -- and because it would 21 not be wise to -- well, let me back up. Gtech has 22 begun review of our random number generator routines. 23 And in an abundance of caution, we -- we 24 do not want to -- to rush something out into the field 25 that could end up just coming back on us with 10 times 0089 1 the concern. So we don't want to rush anything to the 2 field. 3 However, work -- we wanted to make sure 4 that you know that work has begun analyzing the best 5 approach to -- and we're pleased to -- we will be 6 reporting our -- our findings back to this commission 7 in the future. 8 So that's -- that's where I leave it. 9 DR. EUBANK: Could I just make one 10 comment, actually two comments? 11 First, I want to second the statement 12 about the practical significance of this. I've already 13 said that, but I want to emphasize that I -- I agree 14 with that. 15 And the second part of it is that Gtech 16 has been really very forthcoming with all this. It's 17 been a very -- it's been a -- there's been a lot of 18 mutually shared information. And anything I've asked 19 for they've provided for me. 20 CHAIR CLOWE: Dr. Eubanks, could I 21 summarize what you told us in that my understanding is 22 that you have conducted extensive review, almost 23 exhausting. 24 DR. EUBANK: Yeah. 25 CHAIR CLOWE: And that you found some 0090 1 things that you felt were of some level of significance 2 that you asked Gtech to look at and they have agreed to 3 do that and are in that process. 4 But in your opinion, there has been no 5 anomaly or mistake that has impacted the players of 6 Texas where they have played these games and taken a 7 random generator or quick pick function. 8 DR. EUBANK: That's correct. 9 CHAIR CLOWE: I think the thrust of my 10 concern was, you know, have the players of Texas been 11 treated fairly. And I think your answer is yes, but 12 there may be some issue here that has some level of 13 less-than perfection. And we'd really like it to be as 14 close to perfection as possible. 15 DR. EUBANK: Yes, sir. And that's -- 16 that's -- that's -- if I could have known those words, 17 I could have cut 30 minutes out of it. 18 CHAIR CLOWE: You have struck me silent. 19 Thank you, gentlemen. 20 Now? 21 COMMISSIONER COX: Yes, sir. 22 AGENDA ITEM NO. XVII 23 CHAIR CLOWE: The Texas Lottery 24 Commission I move will go into executive session to 25 deliberate the appointment, employment, elevation (sic) 0091 1 and/or duties of the executive director, acting 2 executive director and/or deputy executive director, to 3 deliberate the duties and evaluation of the Charitable 4 Bingo Operations director and internal audit director 5 and to deliberate the duties of the general counsel 6 pursuant to Section 551.074 of the Texas Government 7 Code, to receive legal advice regarding pending or 8 contemplated litigation and receive legal advice 9 pursuant to Section 551.071(1)(A) or (B) of the Texas 10 Government Code and/or to receive legal advice pursuant 11 to Section 551.071(2) of the Texas Government Code 12 including, but not limited to, Gametech International, 13 Inc. versus Greg Abbott, Attorney General of Texas et 14 al., Gametech International et al. versus Greg Abbott 15 et al., Charles Isbell versus Atkins et al., Red Men et 16 al. versus Gary Grief, Texas Lottery Commission versus 17 Joel Bowen and Associates, Inc., dba JB & Associates, 18 employment law, personnel law, procurement and contract 19 law, evidentiary and procedure law and general 20 government law, lottery operator contract, Mega 21 Millions game and/or contract. 22 Is there a second? 23 COMMISSIONER COX: Second. 24 CHAIR CLOWE: Before we take the vote, 25 counselor, if we take up the Mega Millions game or -- 0092 1 and/or contract, do we need to ask for an exemption to 2 deal with that contract? 3 MS. KIPLIN: No. The notice is solely to 4 receive legal advice regarding. 5 CHAIR CLOWE: So there's no deliberation 6 of that point? 7 MS. KIPLIN: No deliberation. 8 CHAIR CLOWE: So this is within the 9 notice? 10 MS. KIPLIN: Yes. 11 CHAIR CLOWE: And properly made as a 12 motion? 13 MS. KIPLIN: Yes. It would be to receive 14 legal advice on that game and/or -- 15 CHAIR CLOWE: Very good. Very good. 16 Thank you. 17 All in favor, please say "aye." 18 COMMISSIONER COX: Aye. 19 CHAIR CLOWE: Aye. 20 The vote is two-zero. 21 Texas Lottery Commission will go into 22 executive session. The time is 1:35 p.m. Today is 23 January 13th, 2006. 24 (Executive Session from 25 1:34 p.m. to 3:08 p.m.) 0093 1 AGENDA ITEM NO. XVIII 2 CHAIR CLOWE: The Texas Lottery 3 Commission is out of executive session. The time is 4 3:08 p.m. 5 Is there any action to be taken as a 6 result of executive session? 7 AGENDA ITEM NO. XV 8 CHAIR CLOWE: If not, let's move on to 9 item number 15, consideration of, possible discussion 10 and/or action on external and internal audits and/or 11 reviews relating to the Texas Lottery Commission and/or 12 the Internal Audit Department's activities. 13 Ms. Melvin? 14 MS. MELVIN: Good afternoon, Chairman, 15 Commissioner. For the record, my name is Catherine 16 Melvin. I'm the director of internal audit. 17 I have one item of update regarding 18 internal audit. I'm very pleased to bring to you the 19 results of a recently-completed quality assurance 20 review of the internal audit function. The quality 21 assurance or peer review is required by professional 22 standards and by the Texas Internal Auditing Act. 23 Our quality assurance review was 24 performed by Mr. Richard Tarr, T-A-R-R. Mr. Tarr is a 25 highly-qualified, independent reviewer. And if I may, 0094 1 I'd like to read his overall opinion. 2 Based upon the work conducted, I concur 3 with the conclusions made by the internal auditor that 4 the internal audit activity of the Texas Lottery 5 Commission fully complies with the Institute of 6 Internal Auditors International Standards for the 7 Professional Practice of Internal Auditing, the U.S. 8 Government Accountability Office Government Auditing 9 Standards and the Texas Internal Auditing Act. 10 This opinion, which is highest of the 11 three possible ratings, means that policies, procedures 12 and practices are in place to implement the standards 13 and requirements necessary for ensuring the 14 independence, objectivity and proficiency of the 15 internal audit function. 16 Okay. And with that, I'd like to move on 17 to -- 18 COMMISSIONER COX: Could I say something? 19 CHAIR CLOWE: Sure. 20 COMMISSIONER COX: Congratulations, 21 Catherine, to you and your staff. That's a wonderful 22 report. 23 MS. MELVIN: Thank you, sir. We're very 24 pleased. 25 Regarding external audit, the State 0095 1 Auditor's Office continues their work on two audits 2 that are ongoing right now, the human resources audit 3 and the required security audit. 4 In addition, the state auditors have sent 5 notice of their intent to audit Lotto Texas. We 6 received that notice yesterday. And so I would like to 7 read their audit objectives regarding this audit as 8 stated in their letter. 9 And in meeting with the auditors 10 yesterday, they indicated that it's always possible 11 that the scope may change. But as of right now, these 12 are their stated objectives. 13 The audit objectives are to determine 14 whether selected Lotto Texas activities are conducted 15 in accordance with commission rules, policies and 16 procedures. This includes determining whether all 17 instances in which advertised jackpot amounts exceeded 18 estimated sales amounts have been identified, prize 19 payments were calculated and paid in accordance with 20 commission rules, policies and procedures, and that 21 amounts transferred to the Foundation School Fund were 22 calculated accurately and in accordance with Texas 23 Government Code 466.355. 24 So we look forward to welcoming more 25 auditors to our office and certainly working with them 0096 1 through that process. Any questions about that? 2 COMMISSIONER COX: Catherine, you did an 3 audit of jackpots back to way back. 4 MS. MELVIN: Yes, sir. 5 COMMISSIONER COX: And you did an audit 6 of transfers to the -- to the Foundation School Fund. 7 Do you have any thoughts about why the state auditor 8 might be looking at something that you've recently 9 looked at and they have your report on? 10 MS. MELVIN: They -- I met with them. 11 And they certainly are going through my working papers 12 and will rely or will review my work and determine the 13 extent of reliance that they may place on that work. 14 Certainly the State Auditor's Office has 15 the sole independence and authority to select whatever 16 scope they choose. I believe that they made clear in 17 the beginning of the year that they would do some 18 additional work at the Lottery Commission, including an 19 audit of Lotto Texas, both jackpot prize payments and 20 the advertised amounts. 21 COMMISSIONER COX: So you have no 22 indication that this has anything to do with concern 23 about the adequacy of the work that you did? 24 MS. MELVIN: Oh, no, sir. No, sir. But 25 we -- you know, we'll make all of our working papers 0097 1 available. We're certainly happy to work with them and 2 share with them the methodology we used. 3 COMMISSIONER COX: Good. 4 MS. MELVIN: Okay. Finally, the State 5 Auditor's Office recently completed an audit of the 6 agency's financial statements for fiscal year 2005. 7 I'd like to invite Mr. Michael Apperley from the State 8 Auditor's Office to join me. 9 MR. APPERLEY: Good afternoon, Chairman 10 Clowe, Commissioner Cox. My name is Mike Apperly. I'm 11 an audit manager for the Texas State Audit Consults. 12 I'm the contact manager for the Texas Lottery 13 Commission. 14 So any questions you have on audits at 15 the Lottery, you can funnel those through me. And 16 Catherine has my contact information. I can get that 17 to you if you like. 18 Also, I was the audit manager for the 19 annual financial report opinion that was recently 20 conducted. This is the first year that the State 21 Auditor's Office has actually opined on the financial 22 statements. 23 In the past, the Lottery Commission has 24 used public firms. And the new state auditor decided 25 that he would like a little more control or input into 0098 1 the audit process. So we decided that we would this 2 year opine on the financial statements ourselves. 3 The results of that audit basically were: 4 We looked at the financial statements. We looked at 5 the internal control surrounding financial reporting. 6 And we -- and we found there were no reportable 7 conditions in the risk control or in the control 8 systems over financial reporting. 9 We also found the financial statements 10 were free from material misstatements and basically 11 represented the financial position as of August 31st, 12 2005 and the financial activity that occurred in the 13 year leading up to August 31st, 2005. 14 If you have any questions, I'd be glad to 15 answer those. 16 COMMISSIONER COX: No, sir. 17 CHAIR CLOWE: Mr. Apperly, we're very 18 happy that you're here and that you're designated as 19 our contact with the State Auditor's Office. 20 And as I told you in private when 21 Catherine introduced you to me, we want to be very 22 responsive to any requests that you have, any 23 information or whatever you might need in the way of 24 your work. 25 This agency, from time to time, is 0099 1 criticized for many of the activities that it's 2 involved in. It is a controversial agency because of 3 the work that we do. And we're respectful of that 4 criticism. 5 But at the same time, we feel that you 6 are a great asset to this agency by way of your 7 independent audit, so many things that you can look 8 into and opine on. 9 So I want you to know that we're very 10 happy that you're here and that we would like to work 11 closely with